Monday, September 10, 2012

It's a crazy, crazy EVE world

More fighting in the north. More zealots crashing and burning... The Jita buy side orders for Zealots spiked by $10mil... that would be a big enough movement to be meaningful. The Sell orders spiked by a ridiculous $32mil. Yesterday morning, there were 388 sell orders for Zealots in Jita. There's 109 now. That's nearly 300million sell orders that disappeared overnight. That's about 55billion isk dropped onto the market.

T2 ship manufacturing is NOT an elastic market. It is highly inelastic. PARTICULARLY on the supply side of the equation. Getting ships to market takes and inventory delay that is significant. The BEST case scenario is someone prioritizing construction on some zealot BPCs they've got lying around. instead of building from one BPC at a time, they start building from two or maybe three. There are SOME producers who might do that. So they could, in theory, triple their throughput and maybe have new BPCs online by the time the current batch runs dry.

But the vast majority of production will come from people who have some Omen BPCs lying around and invent from them. So you're talking about 1-2 days of invention and a roughly 1/3rd success rate. So if you've got 10 BPCs lying around, you probably get ~3 BPCs. If you used the +9 run decryptor, you get 27 runs but most people are probably going to use the +4 PL decryptor which means they get 2 runs from (so 6 ships). BTW: The price for Sacred Manifesto (the +4PL decryptor) spikes by $1mil in Jita as well.

Note #1 to the NCDot people reading this. Since you lost a bunch of tech moons, guess who's getting ~60% of that $55billion? Hint: It's not NCDot...

Note #2: Perhaps we can negotiate to have a more convenient place for your zealots delivered ;)

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