Friday, August 26, 2005

So you think you can do statistics...

Wednesday there was a bit of a minor controversy/surprise when 3
couples managed to have duplicative pairings from the previous week.
The contestants were shocked, the head judge was shocked... everyone
seemed surprised... well, they shouldn't be...

With 7 couples (1 couple had already been eliminated) the odds are
actually pretty easy to calculate.

0 repeat couples - 36.79%
1 repeat couple - 36.81%
2 repeat couples - 18.33%
3 repeat couples - 6.25%
4 repeat couples - 1.39%
5 or 7 repeat couples - .44%

The average result would have been one repeat couple and while the
odds of having 3 repeat couples was "only" 6.25% most would say that
any event that occurs 1 out of every 16 times is an occurence that you
shouldn't be "shocked" by. Just wanted to put that in perspective.

2 Comments:

At 2:13 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have no idea what you are talking about.

 
At 5:52 PM, Blogger Jeff said...

The American Idol spin off so you think you can dance... everyone I know is hooked on it (except you two apparently)... Wonderful things have been uttered like this quote (from a male), "Nobody ever told me I don't look masculine when I dance with a ribbon."

 

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